Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 23 May 2026, the Minnesota Lynx will face the Chicago Sky in a WNBA regular-season matchup scheduled for 1:00 PM Eastern Time. In prediction-market terms, a YES share represents a bet that Minnesota wins; a NO share represents a bet that Chicago wins. The settlement window closes at 5:00 PM ET on match day, giving traders a four-hour window after tip-off to see the final result. The current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES suggests the market is pricing Minnesota as a near-certain victor, though such extreme probabilities are rare in live sports and often reflect either very limited trading volume or a significant consensus among early traders.

Historical context matters here. WNBA regular-season games between established franchises like these two rarely resolve with such lopsided odds unless one team is severely depleted by injury or suspension, or unless the matchup falls late in a season where playoff seeding is already mathematically determined. The Lynx have consistently fielded competitive rosters in recent years, whilst the Sky's performance has fluctuated. A 100% probability typically signals either incomplete market participation or a genuine expectation of a dominant performance—neither of which is typical for inter-conference play.

Traders should monitor roster updates through the WNBA's official injury reports, released typically 24 hours before game time. Coaching decisions, recent form across both teams' last five games, and any late schedule changes will affect the underlying matchup quality. The settlement mechanism includes a 50-50 split if the game is cancelled without a make-up fixture, though postponements simply extend the market until play occurs.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.