Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 167.5 | 56% |
| O/U 168.5 | 53% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| O/U 169.5 | 49% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 18.5 | 48% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Spread -12.5 | 47% |
| María Conde: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -13.5 | 44% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Janelle Salaün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| María Conde: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Kaitlyn Chen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.5 | 27% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| María Conde: Assists O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 17.5 | 22% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | 14% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to toronto tempo vs. golden state valkyries. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 4 at 10:00PM ET: If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Go…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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