Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to national bank open, qualification: lanlana tararudee vs qinwen zheng. This market refers to the tennis match between Lanlana Tararudee and Qinwen Zheng in the National Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page reviews National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee… on Prediction Market UK
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