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Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang 100% Completed Match 100% Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $175K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang100%
Completed Match100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 2 Winner100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Match O/U 21.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Match O/U 22.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Match O/U 23.5100%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 1 Winner0%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, winnipeg: charles broom vs zhizhen zhang stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Charles Broom and Zhizhen Zhang in the Winnipeg, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

We track Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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