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Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger

Five-platform snapshot of "Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger 100% Completed Match 100% Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 Winner 100% Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $147K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger100%
Completed Match100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 Winner100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 21.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 22.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Nesterov and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 2, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger on Prediction Market UK

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Related Topics

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