Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 92% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 2 Winner | 25% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Match O/U 21.5 | 25% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Match O/U 22.5 | 25% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Match O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 1% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to targu mures: elena malygina vs elena ruxandra bertea. This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Malygina and Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Mal…
Methodology
We track Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea on Prediction Market UK
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