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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Completed Match 100% Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $585K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan0%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 1 Winner0%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Match O/U 21.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 2 Winner0%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Match O/U 22.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Match O/U 23.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cincinnati open, qualification: renata zarazua vs yue yuan. This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Yue Yuan in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

We track Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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