Bitcoin price on June 21?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market settles on the Bitcoin price at noon Eastern Time on 21 June 2026, based on the closing price of the one-minute candle on Binance's BTC/USDT pair. A YES share pays out if the price falls within a specified bracket; a NO share pays out if it falls outside that bracket or if data cannot be retrieved. The current 0% probability on YES suggests traders expect the price to fall outside the upper range, or that uncertainty about data availability is priced in.

Bitcoin's intraday volatility at any given hour typically ranges between 1–3% in normal market conditions, though this can expand significantly during news events or market stress. Historical precedent from similar one-minute settlement markets shows that noon UTC prices on major exchanges rarely deviate sharply from the daily open or close without catalyst events. The six-month settlement window to June 2026 means long-term macro trends—regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, or major institutional flows—will likely dominate price direction far more than intraday noise on a specific date.

Traders monitoring this market should track scheduled events including Federal Reserve policy decisions, significant cryptocurrency regulation announcements from the SEC or international bodies, and any major Bitcoin network upgrades or security incidents. Binance's operational status on the settlement date is also material; exchange outages or data feed disruptions could trigger a NO resolution. The specificity of the noon ET timestamp means traders cannot rely on daily close prices alone; they must verify Binance's exact one-minute candle data at that precise moment.

Methodology

This page reviews Bitcoin price on June 21? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.