Bitcoin price on June 24?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event this market tracks is the final closing price of Bitcoin on Binance at noon Eastern Time on 24 June 2026. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the price lands within a specified range, while a NO share pays out if it falls outside that range. Here, the crowd-implied probability of YES is 0%, suggesting traders believe the price will not hit the target bracket, which appears to be around $62,600 based on comparable markets.

Historical data shows Bitcoin has been volatile but generally stable in the $61,000–$63,000 range over the past 24 hours, trading at $62,678 as of 09:30 UTC on 24 June 2026[5]. Earlier in June, the price was $72,145, marking a significant drop of over $10,000 in less than a month[2]. This downward trend, combined with current consolidation, supports the 0% YES probability, as the price is unlikely to surge above the target without a major catalyst.

Traders should watch for announcements from the US Federal Reserve on interest rates, scheduled crypto regulatory updates from the SEC, and any unexpected macroeconomic shocks. Recent reports indicate Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $126,198 in October 2025, but has since corrected sharply[2]. Long-term models still project prices above $300,000 by 2030, yet short-term sentiment remains cautious[2]. Without a sudden spike in demand or positive regulatory clarity, the price is expected to remain below the target bracket.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 24? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.