Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% 1WIN |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Match Winner | 0% 1WIN | 100% Virtus.pro |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% 1WIN |
Market context
The match is a best-of-three Counter-Strike playoff between **1WIN** and **Virtus.pro**, and a Yes share on this market means 1WIN win the series, while a No share means Virtus.pro do. In prediction-market terms, the current **0% YES** crowd price means traders are assigning almost no chance to a 1WIN victory at the moment, even though the market can still settle differently if the game is delayed, cancelled, or ends without a completed winner under the stated rules.
Recent form and past meetings suggest why Virtus.pro may be viewed as the stronger side. A recent match page for the same pairing at CCT Europe Series #4 shows Virtus.pro entering with better recent results, including three wins from their latest five matches and a win in their most recent head-to-head in this event context.[4] Broader match-history pages also show these teams have met before, with Virtus.pro taking a 2–1 win in a previous official meeting listed by Sofascore.[3] For a new reader, that kind of record is often what markets fold into a near-zero YES price: it reflects a belief that the underdog’s path to winning the full series is narrow, not impossible.
The main things to watch are the official schedule and any tournament-side changes, because this market settles only on the actual playoff result and has special fallback rules if the series is not played or is left unresolved. The market description says the quarter-final was scheduled for 20 June at 7:00AM ET, and if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, it resolves 50–50 instead. A practical catalyst is therefore not just form, but whether the organiser confirms the fixture and whether either roster changes before start time; bookmaker previews have also treated the matchup as live and priced it with Virtus.pro as the shorter side, which is consistent with the market’s current lean.[2][4]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europ… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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