Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% BetBoom Team | 100% Vitality |
| Map 2 Winner | 10% BetBoom Team | 91% Vitality |
| Match Winner | 5% BetBoom Team | 96% Vitality |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 8% Over | 92% Under |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 81% Vitality | 19% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) | 100% Vitality | 0% BetBoom Team |
Market context
A Counter-Strike best-of-three match between BetBoom Team and Vitality will take place during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 14 June, with the fixture scheduled for 10:30 AM Eastern Time. In a prediction market, a YES share represents a bet that BetBoom Team will win the match; a NO share represents a bet on Vitality. The current crowd-implied probability of 24% for BetBoom suggests the market views Vitality as the stronger favourite, though the odds leave meaningful room for an upset.
Vitality have established themselves as a consistent top-tier team in competitive Counter-Strike, whilst BetBoom Team operates at a lower tier of the professional circuit. Historical matchups between sides at different competitive levels show that upsets occur in roughly 15–25% of encounters when the skill gap is pronounced, which aligns with the current market pricing. BetBoom would need to execute flawlessly on map selection and exploit any tactical weaknesses in Vitality's preparation to secure a victory.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements and recent tournament results in the weeks leading to the match, as injuries or last-minute lineup changes could shift the probability meaningfully. The scheduling window extends to 21 June, providing a seven-day buffer for rescheduling; any delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution. Vitality's performance at other recent majors and their preparation specifically for Cologne will be key indicators of their form heading into the fixture.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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