Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event at the heart of this market is the Counter-Strike 2 upper bracket semifinal match between Esport Academy Copenhagen and Walczaki, scheduled to begin at 8:00 AM ET on 24 June 2026 in the Super DraculaN Group B. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a contract that pays out if the specified outcome occurs—here, if Esport Academy Copenhagen wins the match—while a NO share pays out if that outcome does not happen. With the crowd-implied probability for YES sitting at 0%, the market currently treats an Esport Academy Copenhagen victory as virtually impossible, suggesting overwhelming confidence in Walczaki.

Historically, such extreme probabilities in esports often precede matches where one side has a clear advantage in recent form, roster stability, or head-to-head record. In this case, Esport Academy Copenhagen and Walczaki have no prior head-to-head history, which can sometimes lead to volatile pricing, yet the 0% figure implies the market has identified a decisive factor favouring Walczaki, possibly drawn from recent tournament performance or roster news [2]. Comparable cases in CS2 show that when a team is priced at 0%, it is frequently due to a confirmed absence of a key player or a forfeit announcement, though no such official cancellation has been confirmed yet [1].

Traders should monitor official tournament updates from HLTV, the designated resolution source, for any announcements regarding match delays, roster changes, or cancellations that could alter the outcome [1]. Key catalysts include the start time confirmation, any pre-match press statements from either team, and the status of the LAN venue in Copenhagen, as delays beyond seven days would reset the market to a 50–50 split [1]. Recent coverage of Walczaki’s LAN playoff performance against Alliance highlights their competitive resilience, which may underpin the market’s confidence [4]. Always verify information through HLTV before adjusting positions, as unofficial sources can mislead.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.