Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Entropy | 0% Donstu Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Entropy | 100% Donstu Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% Entropy | 0% Donstu Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) | 0% Donstu Esports | 100% Entropy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5) | 0% Donstu Esports | 100% Entropy |
Market context
On 26 June 2026 at 08:00 UTC, Entropy Gaming faced Donstu Esports in a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match within the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier, Group C. The market resolves to "Entropy" if they win, "Donstu Esports" if they prevail, or 50-50 in cases of cancellation, tie, or excessive delay. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the event occurs (here, Entropy winning), while a NO share pays if it does not; the current 100% YES price implies the crowd believes Entropy’s victory is certain.
Historically, 100% pricing in esports qualifiers often precedes a decisive result when one side holds a clear roster advantage or recent form edge, though stand-in players can disrupt this pattern. Entropy played with stand-in Tamefear instead of Mikanix, a factor some analysts viewed as favouring Donstu, yet Donstu’s recent record (3 wins in 5 matches) did not override Entropy’s 2:1 victory in the live match [3]. Comparable cases show that even with roster instability, superior in-game execution can secure a win, validating the crowd’s certainty.
Traders should monitor official team announcements for roster confirmations, match start times, and any delay notices, as these directly impact settlement. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms Entropy’s 2:1 win over Donstu in this qualifier, confirming the event outcome [3]. With the settlement window ending 26 June 2026 at 14:00 UTC, the market’s resolution is now determined by the verified result, leaving no further catalysts to watch.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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