Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

FlyQuest and paiN Gaming will meet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 7 June 2026, with the fixture scheduled for 10:30 AM Eastern Time. A YES share settles at £1 if FlyQuest prevails; a NO share settles at £1 if paiN wins. The current crowd-implied probability of 45% for FlyQuest reflects moderate confidence in the North American roster, though the market assigns slightly higher odds to paiN's chances. Should the match be postponed beyond seven days without completion, or cancelled entirely, both outcomes resolve at 50p each.

FlyQuest's recent form and roster stability provide the primary historical anchor for assessing this fixture. The team has competed consistently in North American qualifiers and international events, though their performance at major tournaments has been mixed. paiN, by contrast, represents Brazilian Counter-Strike's strongest contingent and has demonstrated competitive depth against top-tier opposition in recent months. Historical matchups between North American and Brazilian squads at majors show no decisive pattern, with outcomes heavily dependent on map selection and individual player performance on the day.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability and any roster changes before 7 June, as injuries or stand-in arrangements could materially shift expected performance. Map pool compatibility and recent scrim results, where publicly disclosed, may signal tactical preparation. The settlement window closes at 20:30 UTC on 7 June, allowing six hours post-match for official result confirmation from ESL's broadcast operations.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.