Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% FOKUS | 0% CYBERSHOKE Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+3.5) | 100% FOKUS | 0% CYBERSHOKE Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% FOKUS | 100% CYBERSHOKE Esports |
| Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 0% FOKUS | 100% CYBERSHOKE Esports |
Market context
FOKUS’s match against CYBERSHOKE Esports in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Closed Qualifier Playoffs is the event behind this market, and a **YES** share means FOKUS win the best-of-three while a **NO** share means CYBERSHOKE win it. If the match is not played, finishes level, or is delayed by more than seven days without a winner, the market is meant to settle 50-50 rather than to either team.[1]
A 100% crowd-implied probability usually signals that the market is pricing in an effectively certain outcome, which is worth treating cautiously in esports where late schedule changes, map veto issues, or roster substitutions can still move results. In comparable Counter-Strike markets, the listed pre-match odds and team rankings often show that FOKUS and CYBERSHOKE are familiar tier-two European sides rather than a top-vs-minnow mismatch; Dust2.us lists FOKUS at 44th in its ranking for this match page, while CYBERSHOKE’s recent results profile on EGamersWorld shows a mixed run, with 40% wins across its last five matches and 54% over the last month.[2][4]
The main catalysts for a trader are practical rather than tactical: whether the quarterfinal starts on schedule, whether either roster changes before the knife round, and whether the BO3 is completed within the settlement window. The market description sets the match as initially scheduled for 5:00AM ET on 20 June, but the decisive factor is the actual result at match end, so any official postponement, cancellation, or prolonged delay would matter more than pre-match sentiment.[1][2][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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