Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HEROIC Academy (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5) | 0% HEROIC Academy | 100% NEW VISION |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Match Winner | 100% HEROIC Academy | 0% NEW VISION |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) | 100% HEROIC Academy | 0% NEW VISION |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
HEROIC Academy will face NEW VISION in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-In bracket on 8 June 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET, with the settlement window closing at 11:15 PM the same day. A prediction market share on this event works simply: a YES share pays out if HEROIC Academy wins; a NO share pays out if NEW VISION wins. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests traders are assigning near-zero likelihood to a HEROIC Academy victory, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the match has not yet occurred.
CCT Europe qualifiers typically feature academy rosters and emerging talent, making outcomes less predictable than established professional circuits. HEROIC's academy programme has historically fielded competitive lineups with access to institutional support, whilst NEW VISION's recent form and roster stability remain relevant variables. The 0% probability may reflect either strong conviction about NEW VISION's superiority or insufficient trader participation in this particular market segment. Academy-level Counter-Strike matches often see roster changes, stand-in players, or preparation gaps that can shift competitive balance significantly in the days before fixture play.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements regarding final roster confirmations, any schedule adjustments, and player availability updates through to the settlement deadline. Technical issues or match delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution under the market's terms, introducing additional settlement risk. The narrow settlement window—roughly 22 hours between scheduled start and closure—leaves limited time for post-match confirmation, making real-time score verification critical for resolving this market accurately.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-In across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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