Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
| Match Winner | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
Market context
The real-world event is a Counter-Strike 2 match between Isurus and MIBR Academy, played as a Best of 3 in Group A of the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1. This game has already concluded, with MIBR Academy defeating Isurus 2–0, meaning the market will resolve to MIBR Academy. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the stated outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the 0% crowd-implied probability for YES reflects that Isurus did not win.
Historically, similar esports markets where the match result is verified before settlement close with probabilities aligning instantly to the final score. For instance, when a team wins decisively in a tournament qualifier, markets for the opposing side to win drop to zero within minutes of the final map, as seen in recent CS2 qualifiers where verified HLTLV results triggered immediate expiry. This pattern confirms that the 0% figure is not speculative but a factual reflection of the completed 2–0 outcome.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and live score platforms like GosuGamers or Sofascore for final result verification, as these sources confirm the match status and trigger settlement. A recent update on GosuGamers confirmed the 2–0 result for MIBR Academy, ending any ambiguity about the match outcome. With settlement closing on 24 June 2026 at 22:00 UTC, no further catalysts exist—the result is final, and the market is resolved.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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