Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 0% K27 | 100% Virtus.pro |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 0% K27 | 100% Virtus.pro |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5) | 1% K27 | 100% Virtus.pro |
Market context
K27’s Round of 16 meeting with Virtus.pro in the CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs is a best-of-three Counter-Strike match, so a trader buying **YES** is effectively backing K27 to win the series, while **NO** means backing Virtus.pro. The current crowd-implied **0% YES** suggests the market is pricing K27 as having little or no chance, which can happen when one side is seen as a clear underdog or when little reliable information is available before the scheduled start.[2]
Historical head-to-head context points towards Virtus.pro being the more established side. In an earlier semi-final at WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 5, Virtus.pro beat K27 2-1, taking Overpass and Mirage after dropping Ancient.[1] Virtus.pro is also a long-standing Counter-Strike organisation with a strong pedigree in top-level play, which helps explain why markets often lean their way in unfamiliar match-ups.[4] For prediction-market readers, very low implied probabilities usually reflect either a heavy favourite or a sparse information set rather than a literal statement that an upset is impossible.[3][4]
The main catalysts to watch are straightforward: official match start times, any schedule changes, and whether the series is actually played to completion. Dust2.us listed this CCT Europe Series 4 fixture for 19 June 2026 at 10:50AM, which is close to the market’s reference time, so any delay, walkover, or cancellation would matter for settlement.[2] Because this market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, ends level, or drifts more than seven days beyond the scheduled date without a winner, traders should track tournament announcements rather than only the scoreboard.[2]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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