Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

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Active sub-markets

Market context

KOLESIE and GenOne are scheduled to face off in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 16 June 2024 as part of the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage competition. A YES share represents a bet that KOLESIE will win the fixture; a NO share represents a bet on GenOne's victory. The current market probability of 0% YES indicates traders are assigning zero likelihood to a KOLESIE win, meaning the crowd expects GenOne to take the match with near-certainty. Settlement occurs on 17 June at 00:05 UTC, with a seven-day grace period for delays; matches abandoned without completion or ending in forfeiture resolve to 50-50.

The 0% probability reflects either a significant skill or form disparity between the teams, or limited historical data available to traders at the time of market creation. CCT Europe tournaments typically feature regional qualifiers and established rosters, though team compositions and performance can shift between seasons. Comparable group-stage fixtures in regional Counter-Strike competitions often show extreme probabilities when one team has demonstrably stronger recent results or roster stability. The absence of any YES backing suggests GenOne holds a clear competitive advantage entering this fixture.

Traders should monitor team roster announcements, recent tournament results, and any schedule changes up to match time. Player availability, particularly for key positions, can shift odds substantially in regional competitions. Official CCT Europe communications and team social media channels will confirm final lineups and any postponements. Technical issues or venue problems could trigger the seven-day delay clause, though such occurrences remain uncommon in established online tournament formats.

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.