Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Counter-Strike's CCT Europe Series #4 is a regional league competition featuring professional and semi-professional teams across the continent. KOLESIE and illwill are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three match during the group stage on 17 June at 1:00 PM ET. A YES share on this market pays out if KOLESIE wins; a NO share pays out if illwill wins. The current 0% probability assigned to YES reflects either strong backing for illwill or, more likely, insufficient trading volume to establish a reliable price. The settlement window closes at 11:00 PM UTC on 17 June, allowing roughly ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude.

CCT Europe tournaments have historically featured inconsistent attendance and occasional fixture delays, particularly when teams operate with limited sponsorship infrastructure. Comparable regional European Counter-Strike events show that group-stage matches occasionally fail to start on schedule, though outright cancellations remain uncommon. The 50-50 resolution clause for matches delayed beyond seven days or unfinished due to forfeit introduces meaningful tail risk; traders should account for the possibility that neither team's victory resolves cleanly.

Key variables include roster confirmation closer to the event date, any last-minute venue or scheduling changes announced by CCT organisers, and whether either team experiences player availability issues. Recent CCT Europe communications typically arrive via their official social channels and Discord community. Traders should monitor both teams' social media for withdrawal announcements or stand-in player declarations, as these often precede formal match postponements. The current zero probability suggests limited market interest; early price discovery may be unreliable until closer to the event date.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.