Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs Monte (+6.5) | 0% Legacy | 100% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) | 10% Monte | 90% Legacy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5) | 1% Legacy | 100% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Match Winner | 100% Monte | 0% Legacy |
Market context
IEM Cologne is one of Counter-Strike's longest-running majors, held annually since 2014. The 2026 edition's Stage 2 will feature sixteen teams competing in a single-elimination bracket, with Monte and Legacy meeting in Round 3. A YES share settles at £1 if Monte wins; a NO share settles at £1 if Legacy wins. The current 50-50 split reflects genuine uncertainty about which team advances, though the settlement window closes at 18:30 UTC on 7 June, meaning the match must conclude by that deadline or the market resolves to a draw.
Monte and Legacy represent different tiers within the competitive Counter-Strike ecosystem. Monte has historically competed in regional European circuits and online qualifiers, whilst Legacy operates primarily in North American and international online leagues. Direct head-to-head records between these teams are sparse, making comparable precedent limited. When teams with asymmetric competitive histories meet at majors, odds often default to near-parity unless recent form data or roster changes provide clarity. The 50-50 probability suggests neither squad has established dominance in public perception ahead of this fixture.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any pre-tournament practice results released by either organisation in the week before 7 June. IEM Cologne's official schedule and any format changes affecting Stage 2 seeding will influence preparation time available to each team. Injury, visa delays, or equipment issues affecting either squad could shift expectations materially. The single-map format (BO1) introduces higher variance than best-of-three play, meaning map pool compatibility and recent map-specific performance become decisive factors worth tracking through community broadcasts and team social media.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne … on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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