Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Nemesis and TDK are due to meet in a best-of-three quarter-final, so a **YES** share pays out if Team Nemesis win the match and a **NO** share pays out if TDK win. In markets like this, the price is the crowd’s live estimate of the chance that the named side wins under the settlement rules, while a 0% YES reading means traders currently assign virtually no chance to a Team Nemesis win.

Historical context matters here because these teams have already played a long series against each other recently: TDK beat Team Nemesis 3-2 in the ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe finals on 28 May 2026, after Team Nemesis took the first map and TDK recovered across the remaining maps.[2] That result is the clearest comparable case for gauging relative strength, and it helps explain why the market may be leaning heavily towards TDK despite the volatility of a best-of-three. In Counter-Strike, map vetoes and side selection can swing outcomes materially, so a single previous series does not guarantee the same result, but it does provide a recent head-to-head benchmark.[1][2]

The main catalysts for traders are simple: whether the match starts on schedule, whether either team fields a changed lineup, and whether the event is postponed or abandoned. The listed start time for this playoff match is 20 June at 08:00 UTC, and live event pages have shown the fixture as scheduled for that slot.[4][5] If the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to either side, so schedule changes and organiser announcements are as important as the eventual scoreboard.[4][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.