Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is a Best of 3 Counter-Strike 2 semifinal match between Sashi Esport and AM Gaming in the Super Draculan Group A, scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market resolves to Sashi Esport winning, while a NO share pays out if AM Gaming wins or the match is cancelled. This specific market currently shows a 100% crowd-implied probability for YES, suggesting the crowd believes Sashi Esport will win with absolute certainty.

Historical data frames this probability with nuance, as AM Gaming previously defeated Sashi Esport 2–1 in their last encounter on 3 February 2026. However, Sashi Esport has improved significantly, winning two of their last five matches and securing a 2–1 victory over AM Gaming in a separate match played earlier on 25 June 2026 at 9:00 AM. Comparable cases in Counter-Strike show that teams often rebound quickly after a loss, and the crowd’s 86.1% vote for Sashi Esport on prediction platforms like Strafe aligns with their recent form, though the 100% market probability remains unusually high given the prior head-to-head result.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any schedule changes or cancellations, as a match delay beyond seven days would resolve the market to a 50–50 split. Recent news from Strafe confirms the match is underway and Sashi Esport is the overwhelming favourite, but dependencies include the completion of the full series without interruption. If the match begins but is not completed, the outcome depends on whether a winner is determined before the seven-day window closes. No moralising is needed; the facts indicate Sashi Esport’s strong current form and the crowd’s confidence, but the 100% probability warrants watching for any unexpected shifts in the live result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.