Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final between Sashi Esport and Inner Circle Esports (now IC Esports), scheduled for 25 June at 2:00PM ET in the Super DraculaN Group A. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the named outcome occurs—here, if Sashi Esport wins the match—while a NO share pays out if Sashi does not win. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests the market views a Sashi victory as virtually impossible, likely due to Inner Circle’s recent form or head-to-head record.

Historical cases show how low probabilities can shift; for instance, Inner Circle lost 2-1 to Spirit in ESL Pro League Season 22 (2025), yet still competed strongly in lower brackets, indicating resilience despite setbacks[1]. Such patterns remind traders that a 0% probability does not guarantee an outcome, especially in volatile esports where single matches can overturn expectations. Inner Circle entered Counter-Strike 2 in January 2025 and has since built a competitive British squad, adding weight to their perceived advantage[3].

Traders should monitor official match confirmations, team roster announcements, and any delays beyond the seven-day settlement window, as these could trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent coverage on Sofascore notes the match start time as 20:00 UTC on 25 June, confirming the event is still active and awaiting final results[2]. Any cancellation or tie would reset the market to equal odds, making schedule dependencies critical for accurate positioning.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.