Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs will feature a Counter-Strike best-of-three semifinal between TDK and Team Nemesis on 17 June at 7:00 AM ET. A prediction market share represents a binary outcome: a YES share pays out if TDK wins the match, whilst a NO share pays out if Team Nemesis prevails. The current crowd-implied probability showing 0% YES reflects either extreme confidence in Team Nemesis or, more likely, insufficient trading activity to establish a meaningful price. The settlement window closes at 17:15 UTC on the scheduled date, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is postponed beyond seven days without completion, cancelled entirely, or ends in a tie.
Comparable regional Counter-Strike tournaments in South Asia have historically seen scheduling delays and technical interruptions, though NODWIN events have maintained relatively consistent fixture completion rates. Team Nemesis and TDK's recent form in qualifying rounds and head-to-head records would typically anchor probability estimates, yet the absence of current trading suggests limited market liquidity rather than settled conviction. The 0% reading should prompt scrutiny of whether the market reflects genuine analytical consensus or simply thin participation.
Traders should monitor NODWIN's official announcements regarding venue confirmation, roster changes, or any technical issues in the days preceding the fixture. Internet connectivity and equipment availability remain material factors in South Asian esports broadcasts. The settlement window's 15-minute buffer after the scheduled start time creates a narrow window for match commencement; delays beyond that threshold could trigger the tie-resolution clause depending on how long completion is deferred.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN C… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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