Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

TYLOO, a Chinese Counter-Strike team, will face Argentina's 9z in a best-of-three match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 8 June 2026. A YES share represents a bet that TYLOO wins the series; a NO share bets on 9z victory. The settlement window closes at 20:30 UTC on that date, allowing roughly ten hours after the scheduled 14:30 UTC start time for the match to conclude. Should the match not be played, end in a tie, or extend beyond seven days without resolution, the market settles at 50-50, returning stakes equally to both sides.

TYLOO has historically performed inconsistently at international majors, with occasional deep runs offset by early eliminations. 9z, by contrast, has built a more stable recent record in South American competitive circuits but faces a significant step up in competition at a Valve-sponsored major. The current 44% implied probability for TYLOO reflects moderate scepticism about their chances against a team with recent momentum, though the odds suggest the match remains genuinely competitive rather than heavily favoured either way.

Key variables for traders include roster stability—any last-minute substitutions or visa complications could trigger a walkover or cancellation—and the bracket positioning, which determines whether either team enters fatigued from prior matches. IEM's official schedule updates and team announcements via social media typically surface 48–72 hours before play. Monitoring both organisations' statements and esports news outlets covering the Major will signal any disruptions that could alter settlement conditions.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.