Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

TYLOO and Legacy are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 9 June 2025. This is a Round 5 fixture in a tournament structure where teams compete for ranking points and prize pool distribution. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that TYLOO will win the match; a NO share represents a bet that Legacy will prevail. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests traders are assigning near-zero likelihood to a TYLOO victory, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given that both teams qualified for this stage.

Historical precedent in Counter-Strike majors shows that seeding disparities and regional strength often correlate with match outcomes, yet upsets occur regularly enough that 0% probability is rarely justified. TYLOO, a Chinese organisation, has competed in multiple major tournaments with variable results depending on roster stability and preparation time. Legacy's recent form and head-to-head record against TYLOO would typically inform baseline expectations. The settlement window closes on 9 June at 20:30 UTC, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled 10:30 ET start time for the match to conclude.

Traders should monitor official IEM Cologne announcements regarding scheduling confirmations, any roster changes or stand-in players, and internet connectivity issues that have historically affected Asian teams in European tournaments. Fixture delays beyond seven days without a determined winner trigger a 50-50 resolution. Forfeiture or disqualification by either team also resolves the market neutrally, a consideration given occasional visa or travel complications in international esports events.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.