Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports (now IC Esports), scheduled for 15:00 UTC on 26 June 2026 in the Super DraculaN Season 1 Playoffs. Walczaki, a Polish team ranked 52 globally, recently advanced to these playoffs by defeating EAC 2–0 in Bucharest, while IC Esports, a British outfit that entered CS2 in January 2025, sits at world ranking 58. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market resolves to Walczaki winning; a NO share pays out if Walczaki loses, the match is tied, or it is cancelled. The current crowd-implied probability of Walczaki winning is 0% YES, suggesting the market expects an Inner Circle victory or a non-play outcome.

Historically, similar 0% YES probabilities in esports prediction markets have preceded either match cancellations due to technical failures or decisive upsets where the favoured team collapses under pressure. For instance, in past LAN events with low liquidity, 0% odds often resolved to 50–50 splits when matches were delayed beyond seven days without a winner. Traders should watch for official announcements from the Super DraculaN tournament organisers regarding server stability, player availability, or schedule changes, as these dependencies can trigger a 50–50 resolution. Recent coverage on Gosugamers confirms the match is listed as “Upcoming” with no reported delays, but the tight timeline to the settlement window on 26 June 21:00 UTC means any late disruption could invalidate the current odds.

Key catalysts include live score updates from Sofascore and Liquipedia, which will confirm whether the match begins at 15:00 UTC, and any social media posts from IC Esports or Walczaki regarding roster readiness. If the match starts but is interrupted before a winner is determined, the market resolves to 50–50, making early-stage technical issues a critical risk. Traders should also monitor Flashscore for real-time standings, as shifts in tournament progression could alter team motivation. With the settlement window closing just six hours after the scheduled start, the 0% YES probability reflects either extreme confidence in an Inner Circle win or a high likelihood of a non-play outcome, both of which hinge on the match proceeding without disruption.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.