Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

GLYPH and OG are scheduled to face each other in a best-of-three upper-bracket semifinal in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, and a prediction market share here is a simple bet on the named outcome: a **YES** share pays out if GLYPH win, while a **NO** share pays out if OG win. The market is currently priced at a crowd-implied 100% YES, which means traders are treating a GLYPH win as fully expected, even though the event is still a live sports contest rather than a settled result.[1][2][6]

That reading needs context. In prediction markets, a 100% crowd price can reflect either very strong conviction or stale pricing when the market has not been updated around the actual match state, so it is useful to compare it with recent head-to-head evidence. OG beat GLYPH 1-0 in their most recent recorded meeting at BLAST Slam VII on 28 May 2026, and Strafe’s pre-match voting on this qualifier fixture showed OG as the clear crowd favourite, with 87.7% of votes versus 12.3% for GLYPH.[1][3][5][7]

The main catalysts to watch are straightforward: whether the series actually starts, whether it is completed within the settlement window, and whether any official schedule change pushes it beyond the market’s seven-day delay rule. The listed start time was 11:00 UTC on 21 June, and by 15:31 UTC the match window had already passed, so traders would normally be watching for live-result updates, bracket changes, or any notice that the series has been postponed or abandoned.[1][2][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.