Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

InterActive Philippines played Mentality Monster in a best-of-three lower-bracket playoff match in the Southeast Asia closed qualifier for The International. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share means InterActive Philippines win the match, while a **NO** share means Mentality Monster win; if the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond the market’s allowed window, it should not resolve to either side.

A 0% crowd-implied probability for InterActive Philippines is an extreme reading, so it usually reflects either stale trading, a market that has not yet attracted bids, or a strong expectation that the other side is already very likely to win. Comparable esports markets often move sharply once a match is confirmed to be live, because bracket position, map score, and roster confirmation matter more than broad team reputation. Here, Strafe’s match page already records the result as a 2-0 win for Mentality Monster, while Sofascore places the fixture in the TI playoff bracket, which is the kind of post-match or near-live evidence that typically forces prediction markets to converge quickly once the outcome is known.[1][3]

For traders, the main catalysts are basic but decisive: whether the official bracket session runs on time, whether a result is posted by the tournament platform or recognised score trackers, and whether either team fielded a stand-in or changed roster at the last moment. The market description says settlement depends on the actual match result, so any verified cancellation, walkover, or prolonged delay would matter as much as the game itself. Strafe and Sofascore both show the fixture under the same lower-bracket playoff context, which is the clearest anchor for checking whether the market should now have been settled.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.