Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

Market context

A Dota 2 match between Team Nemesis and Vici Gaming is scheduled for 14:00 UTC today in Group C of the Esports World Cup 2026, held in Paris. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the selected outcome occurs—here, if Team Nemesis wins—while a NO share pays out if they do not. The current crowd-implied probability for Team Nemesis winning is 0%, suggesting the market expects Vici Gaming to take the match.

Historically, Vici Gaming holds a slight edge in head-to-head results, having won two of the three prior encounters against Nemesis, including their last meeting on 29 January 2026 [1]. Strafe users also heavily favour Vici, assigning them an 82.9% win probability, which aligns with the 0% YES price for Nemesis [1]. World rankings further support this view: Vici sits at 20 globally, while Nemesis is ranked 72 [4].

Traders should monitor the official match start time and any live score updates, as the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days [1]. The match is a Best of 2 series, meaning a tie is possible if each team wins one game, triggering the 50-50 settlement clause [4][8]. With the event underway today, real-time results from platforms like DLTV or Sofascore will be the primary catalysts for outcome resolution [2][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.