Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Nigma Galaxy and Rune Eaters are playing a best-of-three upper-bracket round-one match in the Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs for The International. In a prediction market, a **YES** share pays out if Nigma Galaxy win the series, while a **NO** share pays out if Rune Eaters win; if the match is not completed normally under the market rules, the outcome can be pushed to 50-50 instead.[1][2][4]

The current crowd price of 100% YES shows near-unanimous confidence in Nigma Galaxy, which is consistent with outside pre-match signals. Strafe’s user prediction page put Nigma Galaxy on 95.2% of votes, while Bo3.gg listed Nigma as the clear match favourite and cited a head-to-head edge, including a previous 2-0 result over Rune Eaters.[1][2] Bo3.gg also listed Nigma Galaxy’s map handicap and under-2.5 maps prices in line with a short series expectation.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts are whether the series is actually played on schedule, whether there are any bracket or stream delays, and whether the result is confirmed before the settlement window closes. Several live score pages place the scheduled start at 14:00 UTC, and the market’s own rules mean cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days would stop it from settling as a straight Nigma win.[3][5][6][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.