Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% OG | 0% InterActive Philippines |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5) | 100% OG | 0% InterActive Philippines |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
OG’s Best of 3 against InterActive Philippines in the Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier playoffs is the real-world event behind this market, and a **YES** share simply means the market resolves in favour of the named side winning the match. A **NO** share means the opposite side wins, while a voided outcome would settle at 50-50 if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond the market’s stated window. At the time of writing, third-party match listings show the series as a live or recently played upper-bracket quarter-final, which helps explain why the crowd has already pushed the implied probability to **100% YES**.[1][3]
That pricing is best read as a signal of certainty rather than a forecast of skill gap alone. OG are the more established name, and one live match listing shows them ranked far higher than InterActive Philippines, at 18th versus 73rd, which usually encourages lopsided market sentiment when paired with a best-of-three format.[3] In comparable esports qualifiers, strong favourites often attract near-unanimous pricing once line-ups, bracket position, and live status all line up, especially in matches where the market may already be close to settlement.[1][3]
The main catalysts now are operational rather than form-related: whether the series is confirmed, completed, or officially reported by tournament coverage, and whether the result is posted before the settlement window closes. One market listing says the match was originally scheduled for 7:00 AM EDT and that it will expire after a winner is declared, which matters because a delay or cancellation changes the payoff entirely.[2] Traders should watch bracket updates, any organiser announcements, and match reporting from score trackers, since a postponed or unplayed series would not resolve in the usual winner-takes-all way.[1][2][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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