Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
40% | 60% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
40% | 60% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 40% Power Rangers | 60% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% Power Rangers | 0% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
The underlying event is a Best of 3 Dota 2 match between Power Rangers and TEAM VISION in the Upper Bracket quarterfinals of The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for 1:00 PM ET on 24 June 2026. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the named outcome occurs—here, if Power Rangers win—while a NO share pays if they lose or the match is cancelled. The current crowd-implied probability of 84% YES suggests traders heavily favour Power Rangers, though external data from live score trackers shows TEAM VISION leading 1–0 in the ongoing series, creating a sharp divergence between market sentiment and real-time results[1][2].
Historically, similar mismatches in regional qualifiers have seen late swings when lower-ranked teams overcome top-tier opponents; for instance, Power Rangers recently defeated Hooligani 2–1 in a tight series during the same qualifier, proving they can win under pressure[5]. However, TEAM VISION holds the world’s number one ranking, while Power Rangers sit at 23, a gap that often dictates match outcomes in high-stakes environments[4]. Traders should watch for official result confirmations from DLTV or Gamers World, as delayed verifications can shift probabilities rapidly if the match extends beyond the seven-day resolution window[2].
Key catalysts include the finalisation of the match score and any announcements regarding cancellations or delays, which would trigger a 50–50 resolution. Recent coverage from GosuGamers highlights the live progression of this specific match, noting TEAM VISION’s current dominance[4]. With the settlement window ending on 24 June 2026 at 23:10 UTC, traders must monitor live streams and official updates closely, as the market’s 84% YES pricing may not reflect the live 1–0 deficit Power Rangers face[2].
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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