Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs represents the final pathway for Chinese Dota 2 teams to secure a slot at The International, the game's premier annual championship. Roar Gaming and Cloud Rising meet in a lower-bracket elimination match on 16 June, meaning the loser exits the qualifier entirely. A prediction market on this fixture asks whether Roar Gaming will advance; a YES share pays out if they win the best-of-three series, whilst a NO share pays if Cloud Rising prevails.

The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme uncertainty about team rosters ahead of the match, or sparse trading activity in a niche regional qualifier. Chinese Dota 2 qualifiers have historically produced unpredictable results when lesser-known squads compete, partly because roster changes occur frequently and scrim data remains opaque to external observers. Neither Roar Gaming nor Cloud Rising has established dominant recent form in publicly available tournament records, making baseline comparison difficult. Similar lower-bracket matches in regional qualifiers typically see probabilities shift sharply once team lineups are confirmed and recent scrim results circulate within the community.

Traders should monitor official qualifier announcements for final roster confirmations, which often arrive days before matches. The settlement window closes at 10:00 UTC on 16 June, six hours after the scheduled start time, allowing for reasonable match completion. Any postponement beyond 23 June triggers a 50-50 resolution. Dota 2 patch changes or hero bans introduced shortly before the qualifier can also shift competitive balance; check the Dota 2 blog and official qualifier pages for updates on timing and format changes.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.