Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 25 June 2026, Virtus.pro and TEAM VISION face off in the Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier, a Best-of-3 match that determines who advances toward the main event. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the chosen outcome occurs—here, if Virtus.pro win—while a NO share pays out if they do not. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests the market overwhelmingly expects TEAM VISION to win, though this figure can shift rapidly with new information.

Historically, regional qualifiers have seen dramatic reversals when lower-ranked teams face top contenders; for instance, in past TI qualifiers, world-ranked No. 1 teams have occasionally lost to underdogs due to roster instability or map-specific weaknesses. However, TEAM VISION’s current world ranking of No. 1, compared to Virtus.pro’s No. 23, frames the 0% probability as grounded in form rather than speculation. Traders should monitor official team announcements, especially regarding player substitutions or last-minute schedule changes, as these can invalidate pre-match odds. A recent update from Hawk Live confirms the match is live as of 14:00 local time, with TEAM VISION already leading 2–0 in the first two games, reinforcing the market’s bearish stance on Virtus.pro [1].

The settlement window ends on 25 June 2026 at 21:00 UTC, meaning any delay beyond seven days or cancellation would trigger a 50–50 resolution. Key catalysts include the final game result, any post-match interviews revealing team morale, and whether the match concludes before the deadline. With TEAM VISION already dominating the early games, the 0% YES probability appears justified unless an unforeseen event alters the outcome. Traders should watch for live score updates and official tournament communications to assess whether the market’s confidence remains intact [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.