Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Frites Esports Club | 100% BOMBA Team |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Frites Esports Club | 100% BOMBA Team |
| Match Winner | 0% Frites Esports Club | 100% BOMBA Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) | 0% Frites Esports Club | 100% BOMBA Team |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
A best-of-three League of Legends match between Frites Esports Club and BOMBA Team will take place on 9 June at 2:00PM ET as part of the EMEA Masters Play-In tournament. The winner advances through the qualification stage; the loser is eliminated from contention. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that Frites will win, whilst a NO share represents a bet that BOMBA will win. The current 0% implied probability for Frites suggests market participants view BOMBA as the heavy favourite, though such extreme probabilities often reflect sparse trading volume rather than certainty.
EMEA Masters Play-In matches historically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when rosters include newly formed or restructured squads. Frites and BOMBA represent mid-tier regional competition; neither has established a dominant track record in recent EMEA qualifiers. The 0% reading warrants scrutiny—extreme probabilities in lower-profile esports markets frequently shift once trading activity increases or roster confirmations emerge closer to match day.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements regarding final roster confirmations, any schedule changes, and recent scrim results if disclosed by either organisation. Technical issues or server problems have occasionally delayed League matches; the settlement terms specify that delays beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Match-day conditions—including player availability and team preparation time—remain the primary catalyst for probability movement in the final 48 hours before play.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA … on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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