Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% G2 NORD | 0% Galions |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% G2 NORD | 100% Galions |
| Match Winner | 0% G2 NORD | 100% Galions |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) | 0% Galions | 100% G2 NORD |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
G2 NORD and Galions are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the EMEA Masters Group C tournament on 11 June 2026. The winner advances or secures their position in the group stage; the loser faces elimination or drops to a lower bracket depending on the tournament format. A prediction market share priced at YES represents a bet that G2 NORD will win the match, whilst a NO share bets on Galions. If you own a YES share and G2 NORD wins, your share settles at full value; if Galions wins, it settles at zero. The inverse applies to NO shares. The market resolves to a 50-50 split only if the match is cancelled outright, ends in a draw, or remains unplayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date.
The 100% probability currently assigned to a YES resolution reflects either extremely high confidence in G2 NORD's superiority or, more likely, a thin market with minimal liquidity and few contrarian traders. EMEA Masters tournaments have historically seen upsets, particularly when lower-seeded teams exploit meta shifts or preparation advantages. Without recent head-to-head records or current roster information publicly available, the extreme pricing warrants caution; such markets often correct sharply once trading volume increases or new information emerges about team composition, injury status, or patch changes affecting champion viability.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements for any schedule changes, roster updates, or format modifications issued before the settlement window closes on 11 June at 21:00 UTC. Patch notes released in the weeks prior may favour one team's champion pool or playstyle. Any withdrawal, substitution, or disqualification of either squad would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, making regulatory or organisational developments critical to watch.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Market UK →