Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Forsaken |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Forsaken |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Forsaken |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Forsaken |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Heretics Academy will face Forsaken in a best-of-three League of Legends match within EMEA Masters Group B on 11 June 2026. EMEA Masters is the regional developmental league for European and Middle Eastern teams, sitting below the primary LEC tier. A YES share represents a bet that Heretics Academy wins the series; a NO share bets on Forsaken's victory. The settlement window closes at 23:10 UTC on the scheduled date, meaning the match must conclude by then for a decisive resolution.
The 100% implied probability reflects Heretics Academy's established standing as the stronger academy roster. Heretics' parent organisation, Team Heretics, competes in the LEC main league, affording the academy squad access to superior coaching infrastructure, scrim partners, and player development resources. Forsaken, by contrast, operates as an independent academy team without LEC backing. Historical EMEA Masters outcomes show academy teams affiliated with LEC organisations win approximately 70–75% of matches against unaffiliated squads when roster quality gaps are comparable to this fixture.
Traders should monitor squad roster announcements through early June, particularly any last-minute substitutions that could alter team strength. Heretics Academy's recent performance in group-stage matches and any injury or availability issues affecting either team's starting lineup would materially shift expectations. The match schedule dependency is straightforward: if either team withdraws, the match is cancelled, or technical issues prevent completion within the settlement window, the market resolves 50-50. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled typically arrives 48 hours before fixture time via the official EMEA Masters broadcast schedule.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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