LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Karmine Corp Blue, the French organisation's secondary League of Legends roster, faces Partizan Sangal in a best-of-one elimination match during the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage on 8 June. The Swiss format means both teams could still advance despite a loss, depending on their overall record across multiple rounds. A prediction market share functions as a binary bet: a YES share pays out if Karmine Corp Blue wins; a NO share pays out if Partizan Sangal wins. The current 100% probability assigned to Karmine Corp Blue suggests the market views them as overwhelming favourites, though this extreme confidence warrants scrutiny given the inherent volatility of single-game esports contests.

Karmine Corp's main roster competes in the LEC, Europe's top professional division, whilst their Blue squad operates at the secondary level. Partizan Sangal, based in Serbia, has historically occupied a mid-tier position within the EMEA Masters ecosystem. Single-elimination matches in League of Legends are notoriously difficult to predict with certainty; upsets occur regularly due to draft variance, individual player performance fluctuations, and the compressed nature of best-of-one formats. The 100% probability reflects either exceptional confidence in Karmine Corp's superiority or potential illiquidity in the market, rather than genuine certainty about the outcome.

Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 11:00 AM ET start time. Patch changes to League of Legends released in the weeks preceding the match can significantly alter champion viability and team preparation strategies. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 8 June; any postponement beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution, protecting traders against indefinite delays.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.