Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Solary | 0% G2 NORD |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) | 100% Solary | 0% G2 NORD |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) | 0% Solary | 100% G2 NORD |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The EMEA Masters Playoffs Quarterfinal 2 will pit Solary against G2 NORD in a best-of-five League of Legends match on 13 June 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that Solary will win; a NO share bets on G2 NORD. The current 100% probability assigned to YES suggests the market is pricing in near-certainty of Solary's victory, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the inherent uncertainty in competitive esports.
G2 NORD operates as the academy or secondary roster of the G2 Esports organisation, which historically fields competitive League teams across multiple regional tiers. Solary, a French esports organisation, has maintained a presence in regional European competition. The 100% YES probability likely reflects either incomplete market liquidity, a significant pre-tournament roster announcement favouring Solary, or data asymmetry among traders. Comparable playoff matches in regional European League circuits typically see probabilities between 55–75% for favoured teams, making this reading an outlier worth investigating before committing capital.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements regarding team rosters, any last-minute substitutions, or scheduling changes. Recent esports disruptions—including visa delays and player availability issues—have occasionally forced forfeits or postponements in regional playoffs. The settlement window extends to 21:00 UTC on 13 June, providing a seven-day buffer; matches delayed beyond this point without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of both teams' final line-ups and any coaching staff changes in the days preceding the match will be critical signals for reassessing the current extreme probability.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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