LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The EMEA Masters Playoffs Grand Final will pit Solary against Galions in a best-of-five League of Legends match on 15 June 2026. A YES share represents a bet that Solary wins; a NO share represents a bet that Galions wins. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on that date, meaning the match must conclude with a decisive winner by then for standard resolution. The current 51% probability for Solary reflects near-parity between the two finalists, suggesting the market views this as a closely matched contest.

EMEA Masters has historically produced competitive finals where regional powerhouses often split victories across seasons. Solary's pathway to this final and Galions' performance in earlier rounds will inform whether the slight YES lean reflects genuine edge or merely crowd uncertainty. Recent EMEA Masters tournaments have seen upsets when lower-seeded teams executed superior macro play or adapted mid-series to their opponents' strategies. The 51–49 split suggests traders lack strong conviction either way, typical for finals between teams of comparable recent form.

Key variables for traders include roster stability and recent scrim results, though these remain largely opaque to the public. Any roster changes, injuries, or coaching adjustments announced before 15 June could shift the probability meaningfully. The match's timing at 11:00 AM ET may favour teams with stronger early-morning performance records. Delays beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50–50 split resolution, so technical issues or scheduling conflicts would neutralise the current probability entirely.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.