Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Team Secret Whales | 0% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 70% Team Secret Whales | 31% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Game 3 Winner | 66% Team Secret Whales | 34% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Game 4 Winner | 57% Team Secret Whales | 43% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Match Winner | 85% Team Secret Whales | 16% Deep Cross Gaming |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 56% Over | 44% Under |
Market context
The League of Legends Continental Pro (LCP) Grand Final will pit Team Secret Whales against Deep Cross Gaming in a best-of-five series on 7 June 2026, with the match commencing at 05:00 ET. A YES share represents a bet on Team Secret Whales securing the championship title, whilst a NO share backs Deep Cross Gaming. The current crowd-implied probability of 63% for Team Secret Whales suggests traders view them as moderate favourites, though the remaining 37% probability assigned to Deep Cross Gaming indicates meaningful uncertainty about the outcome.
Historical performance data from LCP playoffs reveals that seeding and regular-season dominance do not guarantee finals success at the same rate they do in other regions. Teams reaching the Grand Final typically demonstrate resilience through lower-bracket runs or consistent mid-season form, making head-to-head matchup dynamics more predictive than raw win percentages. Recent LCP seasons have seen upsets when teams with superior macro play and teamfighting coordination exploit opponents' mid-game vulnerabilities, a pattern worth examining in both squads' playoff runs.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any last-minute substitutions before 7 June, as player availability directly impacts series outcomes. Patch changes deployed in the weeks preceding the final will influence champion pools and early-game strategies; the LCP typically plays on a patch version one or two iterations behind the live client. Schedule confirmations and venue details warrant attention given the early morning ET start time, which may affect broadcast viewership and, historically, team preparation quality in esports finals.
Methodology
We track LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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