Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% UCAM Esports Club | 0% HMBLE |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) | 0% UCAM Esports Club | 100% HMBLE |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
UCAM Esports Club and HMBLE will compete in a best-of-three League of Legends match within EMEA Masters Group A on 10 June at 16:00 BST. The winner advances their standing in the regional qualifying tournament, which feeds into broader European competitive pathways. In prediction markets, a YES share represents confidence that UCAM will win; a NO share bets on HMBLE's victory. The current 100% implied probability for YES suggests market participants view UCAM as the decisive favourite, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the match has not yet occurred.
EMEA Masters Group A matches historically feature variable performance from Spanish and European academy-tier organisations. UCAM, based in Murcia, has competed in Spanish regional leagues and European amateur circuits; HMBLE represents a newer entrant to formalised competitive structures. Comparable fixtures at this tier show that seeding, recent scrim results, and roster stability matter considerably, yet upsets occur when preparation gaps emerge or meta shifts favour underdog compositions. The 100% probability implies either substantial pre-match intelligence favouring UCAM or insufficient liquidity to reflect genuine uncertainty.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements for roster confirmations, schedule changes, or postponements—particularly given the 7-day buffer before the market resolves to 50-50. Patch notes released before 10 June could shift champion viability and preparation timelines. Any last-minute substitute players or coaching changes warrant reassessment. The settlement window closes at 21:00 BST on 10 June, allowing roughly five hours post-match for result confirmation and dispute resolution.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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