Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars | 0% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% Vivo Keyd Stars | 50% LOS |
| Match Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars will face LOS in the lower bracket final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 13 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the regional finals with a shot at the broader Esports World Cup circuit; the loser is eliminated from this qualification pathway. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that Vivo Keyd Stars win the match, whilst a NO share bets on LOS victory. The current 100% implied probability for YES suggests either extreme confidence in Keyd Stars' superiority or, more likely, sparse liquidity and few active traders willing to back LOS at any price.
Historical context from South American League of Legends competition shows Vivo Keyd Stars as a consistently stronger franchise than LOS across recent splits. Keyd Stars has maintained roster stability and qualified for international events, whereas LOS has cycled through lineups and struggled in head-to-head records. When one team holds a substantial skill gap in a best-of-three format, the favourite typically wins 70–85% of matches, making a 100% probability mathematically extreme unless the market reflects genuine certainty or thin order books.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or last-minute substitutions before 13 June, as injury or visa issues could shift the match outcome materially. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 13 June, allowing seven days for the match to complete; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of the exact broadcast time and any schedule changes from the official Esports World Cup organisers should be verified against the scheduled slot.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Market UK →