Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% Odd | 0% Even |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs will determine which regional representative advances from the upper bracket final. Vivo Keyd Stars and RED Canids, two of Brazil's most established League of Legends organisations, are scheduled to contest this match on 11 June at 2:00PM ET. A prediction market share functions as a bet on the outcome: a YES share pays out if Vivo Keyd Stars win, whilst a NO share pays out if RED Canids prevail. The current 0% probability for a YES resolution suggests traders are assigning near-certainty to a RED Canids victory, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given both teams' competitive histories in the region.
Vivo Keyd Stars and RED Canids have traded dominance in Brazilian League of Legends over successive seasons, with neither organisation establishing decisive superiority. Head-to-head records in regional competitions remain closely contested, and playoff performance often diverges from regular-season standings. The 0% probability implies either substantial new information has emerged regarding team roster changes, player injuries, or recent scrim results—or the market has overcorrected based on limited trading volume typical of regional qualifier matches.
Traders should monitor official announcements from Riot Games Brasil regarding any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or format adjustments in the coming days. Recent roster moves, particularly mid-season transfers or substitute player deployments, can materially shift competitive balance. The settlement window extends to 12 June at 00:00 UTC, allowing a one-day buffer for match delays, though cancellation or postponement beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports W… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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