Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
44% | 56% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
44% | 56% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 44% Leviatán Esports | 56% EDward Gaming |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 50% Leviatán Esports | 51% EDward Gaming |
| Map 1 Winner | 39% EDward Gaming | 62% Leviatán Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 37% EDward Gaming | 64% Leviatán Esports |
| Map 3 Winner | 37% EDward Gaming | 64% Leviatán Esports |
| Map 4 Winner | 51% EDward Gaming | 50% Leviatán Esports |
Market context
EDward Gaming and Leviatán Esports are meeting in a best-of-five lower bracket final at VCT Masters London, so the market is simply asking which team will win the match outright. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if EDward Gaming win, while a **NO** share pays out if Leviatán win; if the series is not completed in the market’s stated edge cases, it settles 50-50.
The current crowd-implied probability of 44% for EDward Gaming suggests the market sees them as the underdog, but not a long shot. That reading fits the tournament context: EDG have already shown they can take series off strong opposition in London, yet Leviatán arrive with comparable momentum and a higher published world ranking on some scoreboards. EDG’s route has included a 2-1 win over FUT Esports, a 2-0 sweep of Xi Lai Gaming, and a 1-2 defeat to Paper Rex, while Leviatán reached this point after beating Team Vitality 2-0 and earlier defeating NRG and Team Heretics.
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: whether the match starts on schedule, whether it is officially confirmed as a BO5 with no format change, and whether any roster or technical issue affects the line-up. The official VALORANT schedule lists EDG vs Leviatán for the Playoffs slot, and the market window closes at the designated deadline, so late rescheduling would matter because the contract only avoids normal settlement if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[8][1]
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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