Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% G2 Esports | 100% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
G2 Esports will face FUT Esports in the lower bracket of the VCT Masters London Playoffs on 14 June. A "YES" share represents a bet that G2 wins this best-of-three match; a "NO" share bets on FUT's victory. The 1% implied probability for G2 reflects market consensus that FUT enters as heavy favourites, though the settlement window extends to 23:00 GMT on the scheduled date, allowing for delays within a single day before triggering the tie-resolution clause.
FUT Esports has established itself as a consistent competitor in European Valorant, whilst G2's recent form has been inconsistent. The 99-to-1 odds disparity suggests traders view this as a mismatch rather than a toss-up. Historical lower-bracket matchups in VCT events show that seeding and recent tournament performance correlate strongly with outcomes, though upsets do occur when preparation gaps exist or meta shifts favour specific team compositions. The current probability sits near the floor for competitive matches, indicating near-certainty pricing.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before match day, as Valorant's agent-pool changes can shift preparation timelines. Schedule adherence matters: any delay beyond 7 days without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent VCT Masters events have proceeded on schedule, though technical issues or player unavailability occasionally force same-day postponements. FUT's recent tournament results and scrim performance against top-tier opposition will provide the most reliable signal for whether the market's extreme confidence is justified.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Mast… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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