Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs Team Vitality (+8.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-9.5) vs Team Vitality (+9.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Vitality |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Vitality |
Market context
Team Vitality and Leviatán Esports are meeting in a best-of-three lower-bracket playoff match at VCT Masters London, with the winner staying alive in the event and the loser eliminated.[1][5] In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if Team Vitality win; a **NO** share pays out if Leviatán win, while an unplayed match, tie, or a delay beyond the settlement rules would push the market to 50-50 rather than either side.[1][5] The current crowd-implied probability of 90% for Team Vitality therefore reflects a market view that Vitality are heavily favoured, not a guarantee.
That reading should be set against the fact that both teams have already shown playoff resilience in London, with tournament coverage noting Vitality and Leviatán among the sides surviving deep into the lower bracket.[3] Vitality’s recent run included a 2-1 win over Paper Rex in the event, which kept them alive in the bracket and underlined their ability to close out long series.[2] Leviatán, meanwhile, have also advanced through the playoffs and entered this match with a strong enough record to remain in contention, which is one reason a 90% implied chance can still move if line-ups or momentum shifts become clearer.[1][3]
For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: whether the match starts on schedule, whether there is any change to the map veto or broadcast timing, and whether either roster update or technical issue affects play before the settlement window closes.[1][8] The official VALORANT Esports schedule lists Masters London as ongoing and confirms the event timing around 19 June, while match pages and live-score listings show this fixture as an upcoming BO3 at the stated time.[1][8] If the game is delayed but still completed within seven days, the market should still resolve on the result; only a non-starter, tie, or excessive delay would trigger the neutral 50-50 outcome.[1]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - … on Prediction Market UK
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