Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score

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Market context

Austria and Jordan will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 17 June at 12:00 AM ET. This market asks traders to predict the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—no extra time or penalties count. A YES share pays out if the match ends in one of the explicitly listed scorelines; a NO share pays out if the final score is anything else, including all other possible results. The 7% crowd probability reflects how unlikely any single exact scoreline is when dozens of potential outcomes exist.

Exact-score markets in football typically settle at low probabilities because the number of plausible final scores is large. Historical World Cup group matches between teams of comparable strength—Austria ranked 10th globally, Jordan ranked 84th—show wide variance. Austria's recent form includes qualification for Euro 2024, whilst Jordan qualified for the 2026 World Cup as AFC fourth-place finisher, suggesting a significant gap in playing standard. When one team is substantially stronger, scorelines cluster around narrow victories (1–0, 2–0, 2–1), making those outcomes more probable than draws or high-scoring results, though still individually modest.

Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture: Austria's squad depth and any injuries to key attacking players will shape whether they can convert dominance into multiple goals. Jordan's defensive setup and whether they field a compact shape will influence whether Austria breaks through once or multiple times. Fixture congestion in the group stage—teams playing three matches in ten days—may affect fatigue levels by mid-tournament. The settlement window closes at 04:00 AM ET on 17 June, shortly after the match concludes.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.